Family FAV · control · 1,935 settled

A frozen declarative rule evaluated against the recorded decision-time tote state.

Baseline — bet the favorite to win

This rule is frozen. Its parameters are printed below, alongside every settled public decision.

Evidence by window

WindowRank Return95% interval Intervaln

7d #— +12.8% -123.0% to +148.6% 5

30d #— -10.2% -23.9% to +3.5% 452

all #— -19.1% -25.2% to -13.0% 1,935

Flat-stake equity

Cumulative flat-stake return over 1,935 settled bets.

Frozen rule

A frozen declarative rule evaluated against the recorded decision-time tote state.

strategies.params_json · immutable

bet

win

decision_mtp

Recent settled paper bets

50 shown · most recent first

Decision and final odds are paired so the price movement is visible as one relationship, not two unrelated columns.

Woodbine TB · 2026-09-20 R2 win · 4 1.80 · 2.50 lose 0.00

Gulfstream Park · 2026-09-20 R3 win · 4 1.60 · 2.00 win 3.00

Churchill Downs · 2026-09-20 R3 win · 3 1.80 · 1.64 win 2.64

Laurel Park · 2026-09-20 R4 win · 2 1.50 · 3.20 lose 0.00

Churchill Downs · 2026-09-20 R2 win · 5 1.20 · 1.34 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 5 2.00 · 3.40 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 4 1.20 · 5.40 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 2 2.50 · 2.40 lose 0.00

Mountaineer Park · 2026-08-31 R2 win · 4 3.00 · 2.10 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 6 3.50 · 5.90 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 1 3.50 · 6.30 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 10 2.50 · 2.50 win 3.50

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 3 1.00 · 2.70 win 3.70

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 4 2.50 · 2.60 lose 0.00

Mountaineer Park · 2026-08-31 R1 win · 3 1.00 · 1.70 win 2.70

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R5 win · 1 0.80 · 0.60 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R4 win · 8 1.00 · 0.90 lose 0.00

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 5 2.00 · 2.30 lose 0.00

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 4 1.80 · 2.50 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R3 win · 1 3.00 · 1.90 lose 0.00

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 7 1.80 · 1.20 lose 0.00

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 3 1.60 · 1.20 win 2.20

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R5 win · 3 3.00 · 3.00 lose 0.00

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R5 win · 5 2.00 · 3.10 win 4.10

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 1 0.60 · 0.60 win 1.60

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R2 win · 4 1.60 · 1.90 lose 0.00

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R2 win · 6 2.00 · 1.80 win 2.80

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 6 1.80 · 2.40 win 3.40

Evangeline Downs · 2026-08-31 R1 win · 6 1.50 · 2.10 lose 0.00

Presque Isle Downs · 2026-08-31 R4 win · 3 1.60 · 2.10 win 3.10

Gulfstream Park · 2026-08-31 R9 win · 6 3.00 · 1.40 win 2.40

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R5 win · 8 2.50 · 2.90 win 3.90

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R5 win · 3 2.50 · 2.10 lose 0.00

Finger Lakes · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 7 1.80 · 5.23 lose 0.00

Thistledown · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 7 1.00 · 3.20 win 4.20

ParxRacing at Philly · 2026-08-31 R9 win · 2 0.60 · 0.20 win 1.20

Gulfstream Park · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 7 0.60 · 1.30 lose 0.00

Finger Lakes · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 7 1.20 · 2.27 lose 0.00

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R4 win · 7 1.20 · 4.60 win 5.60

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R4 win · 8 0.80 · 0.50 lose 0.00

ParxRacing at Philly · 2026-08-31 R8 win · 3 1.50 · 0.80 lose 0.00

Thistledown · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 6 1.60 · 3.00 lose 0.00

Gulfstream Park · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 6 1.60 · 0.10 lose 0.00

Finger Lakes · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 6 1.20 · 0.81 lose 0.00

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R3 win · 4 0.60 · 0.90 lose 0.00

ParxRacing at Philly · 2026-08-31 R7 win · 2 1.80 · 0.60 win 1.60

Thistledown · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 5 0.80 · 0.05 win 1.05

Gulfstream Park · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 5 1.60 · 0.40 win 1.40

Gulfstream Park · 2026-08-31 R6 win · 6 2.50 · 5.30 lose 0.00

Indiana Grand Tbred · 2026-08-31 R2 win · 2 1.00 · 0.90 lose 0.00

Lineage

No parent or variants.