Family S9 · active · 8 settled

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.393844 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

s9-exacta-implied-base variant 11

This rule is frozen. Its parameters are printed below, alongside every settled public decision.

Evidence by window

WindowRank Return95% interval Intervaln

7d #— — collecting evidence 0

30d #30 +150.0% -340.0% to +640.0% 2

all #39 +113.8% -128.4% to +355.9% 8

Cumulative flat-stake return over 8 settled bets.

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.393844 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

strategies.params_json · immutable

bet

win

alpha

0.81

ratio_min

1.393844

decision_mtp

exacta_pool_min

50000

caw_restricted_only

yes

9 shown · most recent first

Decision and final odds are paired so the price movement is visible as one relationship, not two unrelated columns.

Del Mar · 2026-08-30 R8 win · 6 4.00 · 4.40 lose 0.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 4 4.50 · 4.00 win 5.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R4 win · 2 6.00 · 6.10 lose 0.00

Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R2 win · 3 4.50 · — void 1.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R10 win · 10 12.00 · 6.30 lose 0.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R10 win · 6 7.00 · 8.50 win 9.50

Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R9 win · 6 11.00 · 11.10 lose 0.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R7 win · 7 3.50 · 3.30 lose 0.00

Del Mar · 2026-08-15 R9 win · 1 2.00 · 1.60 win 2.60