Vol. I · No. 95 Wednesday, 11 November 2026 23:58 UTC Published from 6,906 recorded races
TRACKS 170RACES 6,906ODDS TICKS 7,986,885POOL ROWS 4,096,717EXOTIC ROWS 11,120,161OFFICIAL 2,981TWN 8 2TWN 7 6TWN 6 9TWN 5 12TWN 4 11TWN 3 25TWN 2 3TWN 1 3PEN 5 2PEN 4 9-5PEN 2 2PEN 1 7-2MNE 9 5MNE 8 14
Family S9 · active · 25 settled

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.3 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

Exacta-Implied Divergence — Base

This rule is frozen. Its parameters are printed below, alongside every settled public decision.

Evidence by window

WindowRank Return95% interval Intervaln
7d #2 -100.0% -100.0% to -100.0% 2
30d #2 -100.0% -100.0% to -100.0% 2
all #17 +3.6% -90.7% to +97.9% 25

Flat-stake equity

Cumulative flat-stake return over 25 settled bets.

Frozen rule

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.3 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

strategies.params_json · immutable
bet
win
alpha
0.81
ratio_min
1.3
decision_mtp
2
exacta_pool_min
50000
caw_restricted_only
yes

Recent settled paper bets

26 shown · most recent first

Decision and final odds are paired so the price movement is visible as one relationship, not two unrelated columns.

Del Mar · 2026-11-08 R9 win · 1 2.50 · 2.30 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-11-06 R5 win · 6 2.50 · 2.40 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-30 R8 win · 6 4.00 · 4.40 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R9 win · 8 5.00 · 3.50 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 7 8.00 · 8.50 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 4 4.50 · 4.00 win 5.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R2 win · 2 3.00 · 2.83 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R6 win · 2 5.00 · 4.90 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R7 win · 3 9.00 · 9.83 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R5 win · 1 4.00 · 4.30 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-23 R5 win · 11 2.00 · 1.80 win 2.80
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R1 win · 2 2.50 · 2.14 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R8 win · 8 4.50 · 5.00 win 6.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R4 win · 2 6.00 · 6.10 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R2 win · 3 4.50 · — void 1.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R10 win · 10 12.00 · 6.30 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R10 win · 6 7.00 · 8.50 win 9.50
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R10 win · 2 5.00 · 5.10 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R9 win · 6 11.00 · 11.10 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R9 win · 2 7.00 · 7.70 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-16 R7 win · 7 3.50 · 3.30 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-16 R6 win · 7 4.00 · 4.75 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-15 R9 win · 3 7.00 · 7.00 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-15 R9 win · 1 2.00 · 1.60 win 2.60
Saratoga · 2026-08-12 R7 win · 4 9.00 · 8.77 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-12 R3 win · 9 10.00 · 8.85 lose 0.00

Lineage