Vol. I · No. 50 Sunday, 27 September 2026 05:20 UTC Published from 3,329 recorded races
TRACKS 114RACES 3,329ODDS TICKS 3,695,255POOL ROWS 1,969,455EXOTIC ROWS 5,204,724OFFICIAL 1,555WOT 6 5WOT 5 6WOT 4 4-5WOT 3 7WOT 2 18WOT 1 4CHD 11 13CHD 10 7CHD 9 15CHD 8 5CHD 7 11CHD 6 8CHD 5 60CHD 4 7-2
Family S9 · active · 84 settled

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.179254 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

s9-exacta-implied-base variant 3

This rule is frozen. Its parameters are printed below, alongside every settled public decision.

Evidence by window

WindowRank Return95% interval Intervaln
7d #— — collecting evidence 0
30d #9 +2.5% -79.0% to +84.0% 22
all #8 -30.4% -68.8% to +8.1% 84

Flat-stake equity

Cumulative flat-stake return over 84 settled bets.

Frozen rule

Looks for exacta-implied win probability divergence at ratio 1.179254 or higher with a minimum exacta pool of 50000.

strategies.params_json · immutable
bet
win
alpha
0.81
ratio_min
1.179254
decision_mtp
2
exacta_pool_min
50000
caw_restricted_only
yes

Recent settled paper bets

50 shown · most recent first

Decision and final odds are paired so the price movement is visible as one relationship, not two unrelated columns.

Del Mar · 2026-08-30 R8 win · 7 5.00 · 5.70 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-30 R8 win · 6 4.00 · 4.40 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-30 R3 win · 6 6.00 · 5.10 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-30 R7 win · 7 5.00 · 4.39 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-30 R3 win · 2 4.00 · 3.33 win 4.33
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R10 win · 2 3.00 · 2.60 win 3.60
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R9 win · 8 5.00 · 3.50 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R9 win · 1 7.00 · 7.30 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R8 win · 11 3.50 · 3.80 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R8 win · 1 3.50 · 3.60 win 4.60
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R6 win · 8 4.00 · 4.20 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R6 win · 4 4.50 · 4.90 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 7 8.00 · 8.50 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 4 4.50 · 4.00 win 5.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R4 win · 5 3.50 · 3.99 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-28 R6 win · 9 2.00 · 1.90 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R10 win · 8 4.00 · 3.80 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R8 win · 6 2.50 · 2.31 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R6 win · 11 4.50 · 4.02 win 5.02
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R6 win · 7 6.00 · 7.51 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R4 win · 5 6.00 · 5.27 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R2 win · 2 3.00 · 2.83 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R6 win · 2 5.00 · 4.90 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R5 win · 7 6.00 · 8.50 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R3 win · 5 6.00 · 6.20 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R7 win · 5 2.50 · 2.61 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R7 win · 3 9.00 · 9.83 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R5 win · 1 4.00 · 4.30 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R3 win · 2 7.00 · 8.29 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R5 win · 3 6.00 · 6.02 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R2 win · 8 10.00 · 13.09 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-23 R5 win · 11 2.00 · 1.80 win 2.80
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R5 win · 7 4.50 · 5.14 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R5 win · 1 2.50 · 3.12 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R4 win · 4 3.50 · 4.42 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R3 win · 7 5.00 · 5.15 win 6.15
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R3 win · 4 7.00 · 7.11 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R1 win · 2 2.50 · 2.14 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-22 R9 win · 10 9.00 · 10.10 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-22 R3 win · 10 2.50 · 2.70 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R2 win · 3 7.00 · 8.16 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R8 win · 8 4.50 · 5.00 win 6.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R8 win · 2 2.00 · 2.40 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R6 win · 4 2.00 · 2.40 win 3.40
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R4 win · 7 1.60 · 1.90 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R4 win · 2 6.00 · 6.10 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R3 win · 2 1.40 · 1.90 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R2 win · 3 4.50 · — void 1.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-20 R8 win · 11 3.50 · 4.40 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-20 R8 win · 6 3.50 · 4.50 lose 0.00

Lineage