Vol. I · No. 50 Sunday, 27 September 2026 05:20 UTC Published from 3,329 recorded races
TRACKS 114RACES 3,329ODDS TICKS 3,695,255POOL ROWS 1,969,455EXOTIC ROWS 5,204,724OFFICIAL 1,555WOT 6 5WOT 5 6WOT 4 4-5WOT 3 7WOT 2 18WOT 1 4CHD 11 13CHD 10 7CHD 9 15CHD 8 5CHD 7 11CHD 6 8CHD 5 60CHD 4 7-2
Family S3 · active · 79 settled

Fades horses whose odds drifted at least 0.161386 between 8 and 2 minutes to post at CAW-restricted tracks, then decides at 1 MTP.

s3-drifter-base variant 3

This rule is frozen. Its parameters are printed below, alongside every settled public decision.

Evidence by window

WindowRank Return95% interval Intervaln
7d #— — collecting evidence 0
30d #18 -100.0% -100.0% to -100.0% 15
all #18 -55.4% -91.7% to -19.1% 79

Flat-stake equity

Cumulative flat-stake return over 79 settled bets.

Frozen rule

Fades horses whose odds drifted at least 0.161386 between 8 and 2 minutes to post at CAW-restricted tracks, then decides at 1 MTP.

strategies.params_json · immutable
bet
win
odds_max
10
odds_min
3
drift_min
0.161386
decision_mtp
1
window_to_mtp
2
window_from_mtp
8
caw_restricted_only
yes

Recent settled paper bets

50 shown · most recent first

Decision and final odds are paired so the price movement is visible as one relationship, not two unrelated columns.

Saratoga · 2026-08-30 R7 win · 9 10.00 · 7.93 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-30 R2 win · 1 7.00 · 7.88 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-30 R1 win · 1 5.00 · 6.10 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R14 win · 10 5.00 · 5.91 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R14 win · 2 3.50 · 4.25 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R14 win · 1 6.00 · 6.84 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-29 R2 win · 6 3.00 · 3.10 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R6 win · 5 5.00 · 6.20 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R5 win · 5 7.00 · 7.90 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R4 win · 8 7.00 · 7.85 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R4 win · 2 6.00 · 5.21 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-29 R3 win · 2 3.50 · 3.51 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-28 R3 win · 7 3.00 · 3.40 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R5 win · 5 9.00 · 10.57 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-28 R3 win · 7 8.00 · 9.35 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R5 win · 3 7.00 · 8.90 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-27 R4 win · 7 8.00 · 8.10 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-27 R8 win · 2 6.00 · 7.87 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R6 win · 8 7.00 · 7.40 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R4 win · 4 4.00 · 4.93 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R1 win · 6 6.00 · 7.52 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-26 R1 win · 5 6.00 · 5.32 win 6.32
Del Mar · 2026-08-23 R9 win · 12 6.00 · 7.00 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R9 win · 4 3.00 · 3.61 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R5 win · 7 4.50 · 5.14 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R3 win · 4 7.00 · 7.11 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-23 R3 win · 3 5.00 · 6.82 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-22 R11 win · 1 6.00 · 7.00 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-22 R10 win · 3 6.00 · 6.70 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R10 win · 7 7.00 · 8.57 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R6 win · 11 6.00 · 6.53 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R5 win · 6 7.00 · 7.91 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R5 win · 5 7.00 · 8.95 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R4 win · 6 3.50 · 4.67 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R4 win · 3 10.00 · 10.59 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R3 win · 8 4.50 · 4.46 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R2 win · 5 8.00 · 10.44 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-22 R2 win · 3 7.00 · 8.16 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R7 win · 5 6.00 · 3.60 win 4.60
Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R10 win · 3 6.00 · 6.94 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-21 R2 win · 5 8.00 · 7.70 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R3 win · 1 4.00 · 4.05 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-21 R2 win · 4 5.00 · 5.66 lose 0.00
Del Mar · 2026-08-20 R8 win · 11 4.00 · 4.40 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-20 R8 win · 4 8.00 · 8.57 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-20 R7 win · 6 4.50 · 5.43 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-20 R7 win · 1 3.50 · 3.26 win 4.26
Saratoga · 2026-08-20 R1 win · 2 6.00 · 3.23 win 4.23
Saratoga · 2026-08-20 R1 win · 1 3.00 · 0.78 lose 0.00
Saratoga · 2026-08-19 R7 win · 4 4.50 · 4.74 lose 0.00

Lineage